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The Cycles of Speculation

by Thomas Gibson

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Scalping

“There are many different methods and degrees of scalping. The word is supposed to express all the forms of trading between the “Chaser of eighths” and the man who operates for a profit of several points.

“Scalping operations are more common than any other form of trading. There are several reasons for this. Many people consider the market a machine, and base operations on pictures of the past, i. e., charts. These misused and mischievous instruments show so many opportunities of profit in movements both ways, that the unsophisticated trader sees what was possible, while the probable is overlooked.

“Again, the desire to scalp is helped by impatience and greed. The small trader will grow disgusted if there is the slightest delay. Dullness is unbearable to him. Also, he will frequently close good commitments merely for the sake of ‘seeing the money.’ I have seen many traders ‘clean up,’ receive a check which was of absolutely no present use to them, gloat over it for a while, and pay another commission to replace the trades. Ridiculous, but true.

“I may say, as a general principle, that I consider scalping the poorest form of trading. It involves the continued multiplication of commissions, and constant personal attention. I know of but two men who have made any considerable amount of money by scalping methods. They are exceptionally fitted for this form of trading, and have the ability to take a small loss quickly. This is a trait which is very rare among public traders. A man will usually accept a small profit for no other reason than that it is a profit, and will sit stubbornly on a loss for no other reason than that it is a loss.

“The man who has reason to believe that a stock will advance or decline ten points, will, in nine cases out of ten, realize more profit by merely making his trade in the stock and going about his business until he considers it wise to terminate the contract. I will say decidedly that more traders will do better, make more money, and suffer less loss of time, and less annoyance by abandoning scalping tactics altogether.

“This view will no doubt cause my friends in the brokerage business much wrath and indignation. They naturally prefer to have ten commissions rather than one, and I fear that in many cases they recommend scalping tactics for no better reason than the one mentioned.

“That constant and repeated operations are disastrous, is pretty well shown by the remark of a successful ‘Bucket-Shop’ man: ‘I don’t care what they do, or what the market does, if I can only keep them coming up to the order windows every few hours,’ said this gentleman. And he was right; for the ordinary scalper is no more than a gambler, basing his operations on possible variations, and paying a great percentage.

“But if one will insist on scalping, it may be well to examine the subject from the other side and see how the least of the evils may be chosen. Without recommending the practice, or qualifying the views expressed above, I will therefore give my idea of the safest methods of scalping.

“The man who attempts to operate on both sides of the market during the same period, is the most deluded individual in the speculative world. I have already stated, that I have only seen two traders out of thousands I have observed, who could do this with any degree of success. These hybrid Bull-bears are certainly not working on any definitely formed opinion of the future. They are worse off than even the traders who are unchangeably and constitutionally wedded to one side of the market the year round. These latter prejudiced and inflexible individuals will occasionally have a turn in their direction, whatever their position may be, but the Bull-bear will go from one month to another, never seeing anything more than a temporary gain.

“It is important, therefore, that the active trader should form his ideas, base his views on something, and, if he wishes to entertain himself with repeated operations, map out a plan of campaign which shall be, at least, intelligent in its original conception.

“Just how successfully the plan suggested will result, depends largely upon the alertness and understanding of the individual who engineers it. If the active participant is easily moved from his position by changes of a point or two against him; if he is easily frightened by wild rumors and inspired talk; if he expects to gain thousands in a few days by venturing hundreds; or if he believes that he can operate in stocks so shrewdly as to guess high or low points within a dollar or two a share, he will meet with disappointment and loss. If he can overcome these drawbacks, he may do very well as an active trader, but I wish to reiterate my views that the man who takes a position on the market and retains it, will make more money than the scalper.

“As a test question, let me put this inquiry to the active traders who read this letter:

“When you have been correct on a certain movement of say ten points, and have made repeated operations, did you make any more money, or as much, as you would have realized on a single trade showing a ten point profit?”—From Thomas Gibson’s Market Letter, February 14th, 1907.

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